At a quick glance at the key financial ratios for Zoom Video Communications (NASDAQ:ZM), investors may come away with the impression that the popular teleconferencing platform represents a bargain. However, those thinking about betting big on Zoom need to be cautious. Macro factors imply that the company may be a value trap. Therefore, I am bearish on ZM stock.
ZM Stock Entices with Seemingly Positive Datapoints
Not too long ago, ZM stock caught the eye of bullish investors. The company’s metrics, from earnings to forward guidance, make a compelling case for its potential. However, beneath these figures lies a more complex narrative.
Last month, Zoom reported its second-quarter earnings for Fiscal Year (FY) 2024. It reported earnings per share of $1.34, easily surpassing analysts’ predictions of $1.06. Moreover, sales saw a year-over-year increase of 3.6%, reaching $1.14 billion. This tally exceeded analysts’ forecasts by a comfortable $30 million.
The company’s Q3-2023 guidance was also mostly positive. Management projected its revenue and adjusted EPS to range between $1.115-$1.12 billion and $1.07-$1.09, respectively. This stands in contrast to analysts who predicted sales would touch $1.122 billion with an adjusted EPS of $1.03. Following these projections, ZM stock experienced an upswing, reflecting positively on its market status.
Yet, the fundamental driver for Zoom’s potential success might be the persistent work-from-home trend. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nearly 27% of the U.S. workforce operated remotely, at least part-time, during August and September 2022. Intriguingly, academic surveys from institutions like the MIT Sloan School of Management suggest that this figure might actually hover closer to 50%.
In practical terms, this means millions require reliable teleconferencing tools, underscoring the relevance of platforms like Zoom. Furthermore, a brewing discontent is palpable among workers being called back to physical offices. This potential rift between employers and employees could further cement the role of digital communication tools, possibly giving Zoom an even larger audience.
By logical deduction, that’s positive for ZM stock. Still, investors need to be cautious.
A Value Trap Might Await Zoom Speculators
By the combination of financial performances and positive fundamental tailwinds, ZM stock appears to be a winning trade. Specifically, shares trade at a…