Dollar steady after soft US jobs report; yen starts week on back foot By Reuters

By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as a soft U.S. jobs report boosted wagers that the Federal Reserve may still cut rates twice this year, while the yen was a tad weaker to start the week.

The yen had clocked last week its strongest weekly gain in more than 17 months following two bouts of suspected Japanese government interventions to pull the currency away from 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar.

On Monday, the yen weakened 0.43% to 153.62 per dollar in early trading, having touched a three-week high of 151.86 on Friday, as the dollar lost additional ground after the jobs data.

Mainland China’s markets were closed for three days last week. But the had risen on the back on the dollar’s broad retreat after data showed a cooling U.S. jobs market, Fed Chair Jerome Powell confirmed the central bank’s easing bias and Japan intervened to push the yen higher.

The offshore yuan was last at 7.1959 per dollar, and gained more than 1% last week.

Japan is closed for a holiday on Monday as is Britain, likely resulting in lower volumes. But with Japanese authorities choosing last week’s quiet periods to intervene in the yen market, traders will be on high alert through the day.

The more than 9 trillion yen that the Bank of Japan is estimated to have spent to prop up the frail yen last week has only bought it some time, analysts say, as the market still views the currency as a sell.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s weekly commitments of traders report showed that non-commercial traders, a category that includes speculative trades and hedge funds, reduced their yen short positions to 168,388 futures contracts in the week ended April 30, still close to their largest bearish positions since 2007.

While Japan clearly has capacity to intervene more, the broader macro environment remains quite negative for the yen, according to Goldman Sachs strategists, noting intervention “success” can only go so far.

“But, buying time is still valuable, as it reduces the potential for economic disruptions from the exchange rate adjustment and could stabilize the currency until the economic backdrop becomes more supportive for JPY,” they said in a note.

FED PATH

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